Overview

• The next launch attempt is slated from Starbase, Texas, late Sunday into Monday local time, with the timing subject to short‑notice changes.
• Nine previous flights deviated from plan, including a full vehicle loss in April 2023 and a ground explosion in June 2025, though the upper stage has reached space and executed a controlled ocean splashdown.
• SpaceX submitted an extensive analysis of Flight 9’s failure to the U.S. aviation regulator, which the company says informs fixes ahead of the upcoming attempt.
• Industry observers express both hope and concern, citing an aggressive risk posture, ESPI data showing roughly 4% launch failure rates since 2000, and even proposing a smaller ‘Starboat’ alternative to the current design.
• Elon Musk touts a build cadence of one new vehicle every two to three weeks and a long‑term goal of producing about 1,000 per year, as NASA plans to use the system for lunar missions and SpaceX pursues eventual Mars ambitions.