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SpaceX Posts Q3 Breakout as Independent Boards Study Tesla Merger

Rapid AI and satellite revenue gains have prompted special committees to explore combining SpaceX’s computing and connectivity businesses with Tesla’s EV and robotics operations.

Overview

  • On Wednesday, Oct. 21 SpaceX reported roughly $14.6 billion in third-quarter revenue and $4.4 billion in net income, driven by its Super Intelligence unit, which generated about $7.56 billion.
  • Elon Musk said independent special committees at SpaceX and Tesla are evaluating a possible merger, he has recused himself from their discussions, and no transaction terms have been agreed.
  • SpaceX gave bold near-term guidance that includes Q1 2027 revenue of about $33 billion to $37 billion while disclosing roughly $19.5 billion in Q3 capital spending and plans to scale capex toward $35–40 billion.
  • Markets moved on the news with SpaceX shares jumping about 8–10% and Tesla shares rising a few percent, and analysts published divergent deal scenarios and price targets that reflect large upside and high execution risk.
  • A combination would group AI compute, Starlink connectivity, Terafab chip plans and Tesla robotics into one company, a move that could accelerate scale but would face heavy financing, shareholder‑approval and regulatory hurdles including Tesla’s December meeting vote requirement.