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S&P Upgrades South Africa to BB, Lifts Nigeria’s Outlook to Positive

S&P credits reform progress, signaling potential easing in borrowing costs.

Overview

  • South Africa secured its first S&P sovereign upgrade since 2005, moving the foreign‑currency rating to BB and the local‑currency rating to BB+ with a positive outlook.
  • S&P cited improved revenue collection, efforts to slow debt growth, and progress at state firms such as Eskom, alongside South Africa’s new 3% inflation target.
  • Nigeria’s outlook was raised to positive from stable, with S&P pointing to President Bola Tinubu’s fiscal and monetary overhaul as likely to deliver medium‑term benefits.
  • Tinubu’s removal of the fuel subsidy and the unification of exchange rates have boosted foreign capital inflows, though the subsidy step triggered large protests.
  • S&P said the improved assessments should reduce borrowing costs and draw investment, a shift with regional weight as Nigeria and South Africa comprise roughly 40% of sub‑Saharan Africa’s GDP.