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S&P Reaffirms South Korea's 'AA' Credit Rating with Stable Outlook

The decision reflects strong economic forecasts and institutional resilience despite political tensions and security concerns.

Overview

  • S&P Global Ratings has upheld South Korea's long-term sovereign credit rating at 'AA,' maintaining a stable outlook.
  • The swift reversal of December's martial law declaration and responsive policy measures were credited with mitigating political uncertainties.
  • South Korea's economic growth is projected to remain above average for high-income economies, with modest government deficits over the next three to five years.
  • Real GDP growth is forecasted at 1.2% in 2025 and 2% in 2026, with per capita GDP expected to rise from under $35,000 in 2025 to nearly $41,000 by 2028.
  • Potential security threats from North Korea remain a factor in assessments, though the risk of serious conflict is considered low.

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