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S&P Keeps France's Sovereign Rating at A+ With Stable Outlook

Paris gains short-term relief, with autumn agency reviews hinging on concrete deficit cuts, higher debt service, geopolitical fallout

Overview

  • Standard & Poor’s left France’s sovereign rating at A+ with a stable outlook on May 29, 2026, matching recent action by Fitch and stopping short of the further downgrade markets feared.
  • The government said it 'took note' of the decision and pledged to press on with deficit reduction and debt control as the key response to the rating firms' concerns.
  • Official outturns showed a 2025 public deficit of 5.1% of GDP, a slightly better result than some forecasts and below S&P’s prior projection of 5.3%, which helped limit near-term pressure on the rating.
  • Paris has put in place limited, targeted fuel support of about €1.2 billion and announced roughly €6 billion of planned savings split between the state and social security, while higher borrowing costs have already raised annual debt service by about €3.6 billion.
  • The rating pause is conditional rather than permanent because political fragmentation, the presidential cycle and falling growth prospects raise the risk of a deficit rebound in 2027 and make autumn agency reviews decisive.