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S&P Global Says Canada Can Become a Top LNG Exporter

Faster permitting and decisive private investment are required to capture nearly $1 trillion in potential LNG spending and deliver lower‑intensity exports

Overview

  • The S&P Global study, released Thursday, estimates scaling Canada’s LNG sector could attract almost $1 trillion of investment and support about 250,000 jobs annually across the value chain by 2050.
  • The federal aim of up to 100 million tonnes a year by 2040 contrasts with today’s single operational plant that produces about 14 million tonnes and with few projects having taken final investment decisions.
  • S&P identifies the main obstacles as slow regulatory reviews that have taken roughly 27 months longer than in Texas, pipeline construction costs about 160% higher than U.S. peers, and limits on power and transmission capacity.
  • Canada’s competitive edge includes large, low‑cost gas supplies, coastal routes to Asia, valuable natural‑gas liquids that boost project economics and LNG production with roughly 55% lower greenhouse‑gas intensity than many rivals.
  • If Ottawa speeds approvals and industry makes final investment decisions, the report says regional jobs and export revenues could rise sharply; if not, projects will face higher costs and international competitors may capture the growing Asian and European demand.