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S&P 500 Closes at Record Highs on Tech Stock Surge

Analysts forecast flat 2025 returns because policy uncertainty overshadows the tech-driven rally

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading on June 23.
A staff of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) looks at a stock quotation board at the TSE in Tokyo, Japan December 30, 2024. REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon/File Photo
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Overview

  • The S&P 500 executed a V-shaped rebound from its April tariff-induced lows to reach an all-time high in late June
  • The Magnificent Seven tech giants have contributed roughly $4.7 trillion in market value gains since early April, leading the rally
  • Year-to-date gains for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq stand at about 5.2%, well below the double-digit returns of the past two years
  • Wall Street strategists now expect the S&P 500 to finish 2025 roughly flat, with year-end projections clustering between 5,600 and 6,100
  • With the Federal Reserve pausing rate cuts until at least September and tariffs fueling inflation concerns, investors are focusing on dip-buying and diversified, long-term portfolios