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S&P 500 and Nasdaq Log Biggest Monthly Rally Since 2023, But Tariff Risks Persist

The Federal Reserve is holding interest rates steady to assess how elevated import duties will shape inflation and corporate earnings.

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Overview

  • S&P 500 rose about 6.2% and the Nasdaq Composite surged 9.6% in May, marking their strongest monthly gains since November 2023.
  • A U.S. trade court’s block on several of President Trump’s tariffs spurred relief rallies, but an appeals court’s stay has kept higher duties in effect.
  • Retailers such as Gap warned of up to $300 million in additional import costs this year while Ulta Beauty beat forecasts and raised its guidance.
  • Investors are poised for June’s employment report and Nike’s fiscal fourth-quarter earnings to reveal how elevated duties are squeezing growth.
  • Veteran hedge fund manager Doug Kass cautions that sticky inflation, sluggish consumer spending and persistent trade tensions could leave markets more vulnerable.