Overview
- Kosmos 482, a Soviet-era Venus probe, failed to leave Earth's orbit in 1972 due to a rocket malfunction and has been in a decaying orbit for over five decades.
- The spacecraft's reentry window is predicted between May 8 and May 12, 2025, with the impact zone spanning latitudes 52°N to 52°S, covering much of the inhabited world.
- Experts warn that the probe's Venus-grade heat shielding may allow parts of the 500kg descent module to survive reentry and reach the surface intact.
- The chance of the spacecraft causing harm or damage is low but not zero, with predictions narrowing in the final hours before reentry.
- This event highlights ongoing challenges in managing space debris, with Kosmos 482 remaining Russia's responsibility under the 1967 Outer Space Treaty.