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Southwest Monsoon Expected to Arrive in Kerala by May 27, Says IMD

The forecasted early onset, supported by satellite data, could mark the earliest arrival since 2009 and is expected to bring above-normal rainfall crucial for agriculture and the economy.

IMD predicts early monsoon on May 27; kharif crops, rural demand may get a boost
Monsoon normally arrives in Kerala on June 1 (PTI)
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Overview

  • The India Meteorological Department (IMD) predicts the southwest monsoon will reach Kerala on May 27, four days earlier than the usual onset date of June 1, with a model error margin of ±4 days.
  • If realized, this would be the earliest monsoon onset over Kerala since 2009, when it arrived on May 23.
  • IMD forecasts above-normal rainfall at 105% of the long-period average for the June–September monsoon season, with no El Niño influence expected.
  • Satellite imagery shows dense cloud cover over the Andaman Sea, supporting the prediction of an early monsoon onset.
  • The early arrival and favorable rainfall outlook are expected to benefit kharif crop sowing, water resource management, and inflation control in India's largely rain-fed agricultural economy.