Overview
- Preliminary Bank of Korea data show GDP rose 1.2% quarter on quarter and 1.7% year on year, the fastest pace in six quarters.
- Exports increased 1.5% on the quarter on strong semiconductor and automobile shipments, and manufacturing activity strengthened.
- Private consumption climbed 1.3% as cash handouts and vouchers boosted spending, with facility investment up 2.4% and government outlays higher.
- The finance ministry signaled an upgrade of its 2025 growth forecast to about 1%, and BOK Governor Rhee said this year’s expansion will likely top 1% with a revised outlook due in November.
- U.S. tariff negotiations remain unresolved ahead of APEC meetings where President Lee plans to meet President Trump, with the BOK estimating a tariff-related growth drag of roughly 0.45 percentage point in 2025 and 0.6 point in 2026 as construction stays weak.