Overview
- The won traded around 1,470–1,480 per U.S. dollar this week, its weakest range since December 23 and near the April 2025 trough.
- The Bank of Korea reported a net US$19.6 billion outflow in January–October 2025, driven by residents who bought US$117.1 billion of foreign securities versus US$71 billion a year earlier.
- Officials also cited a widening growth-rate gap with the United States and differences in expected returns between domestic and overseas markets as added pressure on the currency.
- External factors included a weaker Japanese yen, while foreign investors sold a net 276.77 billion won of Korean shares on Jan. 13 even as the KOSPI set a record.
- A KOFIA survey found 28% of bond experts expect further depreciation next month and 96% expect the policy rate to stay at 2.5% at this week’s meeting.