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South Korea Spy Agency Sees High Chance of U.S.–North Korea Talks After March

Seoul's intelligence service cites behind-the-scenes preparations, with any contact expected only after next March's joint military drills.

Overview

  • South Korea’s National Intelligence Service told lawmakers that multiple indicators suggest Pyongyang is preparing for dialogue with Washington despite the lack of a meeting during APEC.
  • The agency assessed that a summit is most likely after the annual U.S.–South Korea exercises in March, characterizing the probability as high.
  • Pyongyang continues to restrict engagement with Seoul, instructing overseas missions to avoid Korean groups and to calibrate responses differently toward South Korea and the United States.
  • NIS said Pyongyang carefully weighed allowing Foreign Minister Choe Son-hui’s trip to Russia in light of potential talks with Washington.
  • President Trump expressed willingness to meet Kim Jong-un during his Asia tour, while reporting indicates Kim has signaled openness to talks if denuclearization demands are dropped.