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South Asia's Volatile 2025: Operation Sindoor, Fragile Truces and India's Precision Buildout

Regional churn exposed governance strains at home, resetting India’s military planning.

Overview

  • In April, a terror attack in Pahalgam that killed 26 led India to suspend trade and place the Indus Waters Treaty in abeyance, setting the stage for cross‑border retaliation.
  • From May 6–10, India executed Operation Sindoor against multiple terror camps in Pakistan and Pakistan‑occupied Kashmir before a DGMO‑level understanding paused fire on May 10.
  • Indian officials said the strikes followed intelligence of imminent attacks, while Indian claims of damage to Pakistani aircraft, including F‑16s, remain disputed in open reporting.
  • By year’s end, New Delhi accelerated long‑range precision capabilities, highlighted by the December 29 Pinaka Long‑Range Guided Rocket test and the Army’s induction of Apache helicopters and expanded drone units.
  • Regional instability persisted as October PakistanAfghanistan border fighting yielded a Qatar‑ and Turkey‑brokered ceasefire, and Nepal’s September youth‑led protests forced the Oli government’s collapse.