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South African Reserve Bank Cuts Rate to 7% and Lowers Inflation Anchor to 3%

Governor Lesetja Kganyago said the move reflects moderating price growth, with Treasury collaboration set to embed a permanently low-inflation framework.

South Africa's Minister of Finance Enoch Godongwana briefs the media concluding the G20 finance meeting in Durban, South Africa, July 18, 2025. REUTERS/Rogan Ward/File Photo
South Africa's Reserve Bank Governor Lesetja Kganyago addresses the media during a press conference concluding the G20 finance meeting in Durban, South Africa, July 18, 2025. REUTERS/Rogan Ward/File photo
Minister of Finance of The Republic of South Africa Enoch Godongwana and Governor of the South African Reserve Bank Lesetja Kganyago participate in a press conference at the 2025 annual IMF/World Bank Spring Meetings in Washington, D.C., U.S., April 24, 2025. REUTERS/Elizabeth Frantz/File Photo
The logo of South Africa's central reserve bank is seen during the delivery of a keynote address by South Africa's central bank governor, Lesetja Kganyago, at the University of the Witwatersrand in Johannesburg, South Africa, November 1, 2022. REUTERS/Siphiwe Sibeko/File Photo

Overview

  • All MPC members backed the shift to monetary easing.
  • Headline inflation is forecast to average 3.3% this year before stabilizing around the new 3% anchor.
  • Growth forecasts for 2025 were trimmed following downward revisions to earlier GDP data and assumed US tariff increases.
  • Recent data indicate the economy picked up in the second quarter, offsetting broader downside pressures.
  • Persistent logistics bottlenecks and elevated uncertainty continue to dampen long-term growth momentum.