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Solar Storms Accelerate Starlink Satellite Decline to Near-Daily Re-Entries

Geomagnetic storms linked to the sun’s peak activity heat Earth’s upper atmosphere increasing satellite drag.

The report revealed that the sun has an 11-year cycle of activity, whose peak is known as the solar maximum.
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Overview

  • NASA’s Denny Oliveira finds geomagnetic storms during solar maximum can shorten satellite lifetimes by up to 10 days by expanding the upper atmosphere.
  • More than 7,000 Starlink satellites have been launched and 523 were tracked re-entering between 2020 and 2024, with daily de-orbit events projected soon.
  • University of Birmingham’s Sean Elvidge says faster drag helps clear defunct satellites but poses challenges for operations below 400 km.
  • Faster re-entries raise the chance of debris surviving descent, as shown by a 2.5 kg Starlink fragment found on a Saskatchewan farm in August 2024.
  • With SpaceX planning tens of thousands more satellites, ongoing research is focusing on refining drag models and managing growing orbital debris risks.