Overview
- Solana traded around $195–$205 on Saturday after a weeklong slide, with the $200 mark acting as the key psychological and technical pivot.
- Futures open interest has fallen to roughly $14 billion, down about 17% since Sept. 19, signaling reduced trader participation and a cleaner positioning base.
- On-chain data points to large holders sending SOL to exchanges, and Glassnode shows short-term holder NUPL near 0.039, highlighting fragile conviction.
- Canary Capital filed for a staking-enabled Solana ETF, and staking products have drawn fresh capital, including a reported $16.2 million daily inflow to REXShares and $10.5 million in SOL buys by REX-Osprey, though any approvals remain unconfirmed.
- Analysts flag $206–$218 as the first upside hurdles for a rebound, while a loss of $200 raises risk of retests near $195.55, $180, and potentially the $160–$150 area.