Overview
- SOL is consolidating near $125 after touching an eight‑month low around $116 this week, with sellers capping rebounds below the $126–$133 area.
- Analysts caution that a decisive move below $120 would likely shift targets to about $111 and $100, with some warning of scenarios extending into the $80s.
- Technical structure remains fragile in a descending channel with oversold signals, while three‑day RSI bullish divergences hint at fading sell pressure without a clear reversal.
- On‑chain activity has cooled, including weekly fees near $4.5 million and roughly a 30% drop in DApp revenue, as networks like Base, Arbitrum and Polygon report faster transaction growth.
- Institutional and large‑holder demand continues through steady inflows to U.S. spot Solana ETFs and whale accumulation below $120, with about 68% of supply staked limiting circulating float.