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Solana Attempts Rebound as Key Support Holds and 200-Day Test Nears

High odds of a 25 bps Fed cut are lifting risk appetite, with RSI and MACD turning more constructive.

Overview

  • Solana has defended an 18‑month support zone, with charts showing a breakout from a descending channel and improving volume, though a confirmed higher high is still absent.
  • Market pricing shows strong expectations for a near‑term 25 bps Federal Reserve cut, with probabilities cited at 87.4% on CME and 94% on Polymarket.
  • Analyst Ali Martinez highlights $124 as the level to hold, warning that a breakdown could open targets near $115 or $106.
  • Analysts identify the 200‑day moving average band as the next key resistance, saying a decisive break with strong volume would validate further upside.
  • Ecosystem growth and institutional inflows provide a supportive backdrop, with reported market cap near $78 billion and daily trading volume above $4.7 billion.