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Social Security Trust Funds to Run Dry by 2034, Triggering 23% Benefit Cuts

Trustees forecast the program’s funds will deplete in fiscal 2034, triggering a 23% benefit cut.

Overview

  • The annual trustees’ report finds both the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance trust funds will be exhausted in fiscal 2034, nine months earlier than last year’s projection.
  • Without legislative changes, benefits for roughly 61 million recipients will be automatically reduced by 23% when payouts exceed revenues.
  • Congress has until 2033 to pass reforms under current financing rules or face automatic cuts to Social Security benefits.
  • Demographic shifts—an aging baby-boomer population and lower birthrates—are reducing the worker-to-beneficiary ratio and accelerating the program’s shortfall.
  • Lawmakers are debating measures such as raising the retirement age, increasing or lifting the $176,100 payroll tax cap, and adjusting benefit formulas to restore long-term solvency.