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Social Security Trust Funds to Be Exhausted by 2033, Triggering Major Benefit Cuts

Congress must secure new revenue or risk an automatic 23% cut to benefits when trust funds dry up in 2033.

If Congress does not act, then U.S. workers face a 23% automatic Social Security benefit cut in a few years.
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Overview

  • The 2025 Trustees Report finds the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance fund will deplete in 2033, leaving payroll tax income able to cover just 77% of promised benefits.
  • If combined with Disability Insurance reserves, the trust funds will run dry by 2034 and support only 81% of scheduled payments, implying a 19% benefit reduction.
  • Last year’s Social Security Fairness Act accelerated the depletion timeline by boosting benefits for about 3 million public-sector retirees without adding corresponding funding.
  • Key reform proposals before Congress include hiking the FICA payroll tax, trimming benefits for current or future beneficiaries and tapping general revenues or new tax streams.
  • Financial planners are advising workers to bolster savings and consider delaying retirement to guard against the projected reductions.