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SMN Sees Warmer‑Than‑Normal Oct–Dec Across Most of Argentina, Led by Córdoba

The agency presents a probabilistic three‑month outlook based on global and national model analyses.

Overview

  • Córdoba holds a 55% probability of temperatures above historical norms during October–December 2025.
  • Buenos Aires, Santa Fe, La Pampa, San Luis, Mendoza, the south of San Juan, and Entre Ríos register roughly 50% odds of warmer conditions.
  • The northeast and Patagonia show about a 45% chance of a warmer‑than‑usual quarter, extending the heat signal nationwide.
  • A small sector of the northwest—La Rioja, Catamarca, Tucumán, and parts of Salta and Jujuy—is forecast to remain near seasonal averages.
  • For La Plata and surrounding areas, precipitation is expected to be near normal, with a 40–50% chance of higher temperatures for the period.