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SMN Sees Warmer October–December in Argentina, With Heat Odds Above 55% in Center and Northeast

The outlook points to a warmer quarter with northern provinces trending wetter, with possible deficits from the west Pampas to northern Patagonia.

Overview

  • Argentina’s official quarterly guidance projects temperatures normal to above normal across most regions, with the NOA expected near seasonal norms.
  • Precipitation signals diverge, with higher chances of above-normal rain in Chaco, Formosa, Misiones, Corrientes and Santiago del Estero, contrasted by potential hydric shortfalls in the west Pampas, Cuyo and northern Patagonia.
  • The SMN maintains wind alerts for Río Negro, Chubut, Santa Cruz and Tierra del Fuego, warning of west winds at 40–60 km/h with gusts up to 90 km/h and, in orange zones, 60–70 km/h with gusts over 120 km/h.
  • Near term in the AMBA, conditions improve after Saturday’s rain with lightly cloudy skies and temperatures around 10°C to 22°C, followed by a mild week.
  • Local updates note rising temperatures into early October per REM, while AEMET-based forecasts in multiple Galician towns call for clear, dry days with daytime highs near 22–26°C and negligible rain probability.