Overview

• Sportsbooks price Jannik Sinner at extreme odds to beat Marin Cilic, with examples including Bovada at -5000 for Sinner, +1400 for Cilic and a -6.5 games spread, echoed by Bet365 and FanDuel.
• Sinner arrives off finals at the US Open and Cincinnati and has rested to prepare for the Asian swing, reinforcing market confidence in a routine start.
• Cilic enters on a five‑match losing streak, including a three‑set loss to Nishesh Basavareddy in Hangzhou, with recent serving issues highlighted by a 48% first‑serve day and nine double faults.
• Tennis Abstract rates Beijing among the slowest hard courts, a factor analysts say could compress scorelines and make underdog game spreads more attractive than moneylines.
• Parallel first‑round previews back Karen Khachanov over Alexandre Muller with handicap appeal, note books slightly favor Fabian Marozsan over Benjamin Bonzi despite form concerns, and list Alejandro Davidovich Fokina as a clear favorite against Camilo Ugo Carabelli.