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Singles’ Day Nears 1.7 Trillion Yuan as Growth Cools in China’s Spending Squeeze

Independent estimates point to slower gains as platforms stretch discounts, deploy subsidies and lean on AI while keeping overall sales figures under wraps.

Overview

  • Syntun estimates total sales of about 1.695–1.7 trillion yuan this year, a clear slowdown in year-on-year growth compared with 2024.
  • Major platforms again avoided disclosing aggregate GMV; JD.com reported a record turnover with nearly 60% more orders and over 40% more users, while Alibaba extended deals through Nov. 14 without publishing totals.
  • Retailers lengthened the sales window into early October and intensified year-round discounting, with Alibaba pledging 50 billion yuan in targeted subsidies for its 88VIP members.
  • Platforms emphasized technology and new formats, with AI and livestreaming boosting efficiency and conversion and an estimated 67 billion yuan in instant retail sales rising sharply from a year earlier.
  • Muted consumer sentiment saw shoppers trade down and focus on necessities, even as top categories included home appliances (16.5% of sales), mobile phones and digital products, and apparel, and Taobao expanded related promotions to more than 20 countries.