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Single Gene Shift Prolonged Bubonic Plague Pandemics

Researchers used ancient DNA alongside modern samples to show that plague bacteria evolved lower pla gene counts about a century into each pandemic to prolong infections.

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A painting scene of people suffering from the bubonic plague in the 15th century from the Toggenberg Bible.
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Overview

  • The pla gene modulates Yersinia pestis virulence by enabling undetected lymphatic spread; its copy number declined independently in both early pandemics about a century into their outbreaks.
  • Genetic analysis indicates that lower pla gene counts decreased host mortality by about 20 percent to extend infection durations; this change likely aided wider transmission via rat hosts.
  • Three rare Y. pestis samples with pla depletion from the third pandemic were identified in the Institut Pasteur collection; their existence confirms the gene’s role in later outbreaks.
  • Pla-reduced strains eventually went extinct, suggesting further shifts in host-pathogen dynamics; one lineage descended from the Black Death ancestor continues to circulate today.
  • Despite past attenuation events, most current plague strains remain highly virulent and pose ongoing public health risks in regions such as Madagascar and the Democratic Republic of Congo.