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Simulations Confirm Roman Space Telescope Will Detect 100,000 Cosmic Explosions

Mid-July study results are informing NASA’s data pipelines ahead of the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope’s high-cadence survey

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Overview

  • Comprehensive simulations published July 15 predict the two-year High-Latitude Time-Domain Survey will capture roughly 100,000 transient events between 2027 and 2029.
  • The study forecasts about 27,000 type Ia supernovae and 60,000 core-collapse supernovae, expanding current samples by nearly tenfold.
  • Researchers expect to record dozens of extreme phenomena, including at least 90 superluminous supernovae, around 40 tidal disruption events and five new kilonovae.
  • Survey operations will scan 18 square degrees of sky every five days to build a time-domain map probing cosmic history up to 11.5 billion years ago.
  • NASA Goddard and partner teams are finalizing machine-learning classification pipelines to handle the unprecedented data volume when observations begin.