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Silver Near Record on ETF Inflows, Copper Extends 2025 Rally

Heavy ETF buying is reinforcing silver’s rally into a closely watched Fed decision.

Overview

  • Silver traded less than $1 below its $59.33 per ounce record on Monday after an early Asian dip, with swaps pricing a near‑certain quarter‑point Fed cut this week.
  • Silver‑backed funds saw their strongest weekly inflows since July at roughly 590 tons, including nearly $1 billion into the iShares Silver Trust.
  • One‑month lease rates held near 6%, signaling persistent borrowing stress in London even as more metal moved into vaults, and Shanghai inventories sit near decade lows.
  • Retail and options activity intensified, with implied volatility in the iShares Silver Trust at the highest since early 2021 and large February $80/$85 call spread blocks trading on Comex.
  • Investors have shifted focus from gold toward silver and copper, with silver more than doubling this year and copper up nearly 9% since gold’s Oct. 20 record, as analysts warn of frothy positioning.