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Silver Near $54 on ETF Surge as MOFSL Lifts Outlook to Rs 2.4 Lakh by 2026

Industrial demand and a persistent supply shortfall are propelling a demand-driven revaluation.

Overview

  • Prices touched about $53.60 per ounce internationally as Indian spot hovered near Rs 1.8 lakh and MCX December futures traded around Rs 1,62,700.
  • Motilal Oswal projects consolidation near $50–$55 with potential to reach $75 by 2026 and sets a domestic target of Rs 2,40,000 per kg by end-2026.
  • Silver ETFs have delivered roughly 102% year-to-date returns, outpacing gold ETFs and equities as inflows accelerate.
  • Physical tightness is evident in India with ETF premiums over futures and reported delivery delays exceeding 10 days.
  • Analysts flag thin liquidity and near-term pullback risk even as Bank of America lifts its projection to $65 and the Silver Institute tracks a fifth consecutive market deficit, with industrial use projected above 700 million ounces in 2025.