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Silver Hits Record Near $79 as China Export Curbs Loom, Musk Flags Manufacturing Risk

A tightening supply–demand imbalance and surging investor interest are straining physical availability and increasing price volatility for an essential industrial metal.

Overview

  • Comex prices touched about $79.70 per ounce on Friday and India’s MCX futures hit a lifetime high of Rs 2.42 lakh per kilogram.
  • Elon Musk warned that the surge threatens manufacturers, noting silver’s critical role in many industrial processes.
  • China’s new rules will require licences for silver exports starting January 1, 2026, which reports say could limit smaller exporters and curb overseas supply.
  • Traders report delivery delays, rising premiums and falling vault inventories, signaling mounting stress in the physical market.
  • Analysts cite robust demand from solar, electric vehicles and electronics, multi‑year supply deficits, ETF inflows and Federal Reserve rate‑cut expectations as key drivers, with some projecting the possibility of $100 per ounce in 2026.