Overview
- Markets assign roughly an 89% probability to a 25-basis-point reduction at the Dec. 9–10 FOMC meeting, with investors awaiting Chair Jerome Powell’s guidance.
- Spot gold hovered around $4,195–$4,214 an ounce on Tuesday as silver set a fresh all-time high near $60.01, extending last week’s records.
- A softer U.S. dollar continues to underpin bullion, while higher Treasury yields and pre-Fed positioning have triggered two-way volatility and brief pullbacks.
- Structural demand remains firm, with China’s central bank increasing gold reserves for a 13th straight month and silver ETFs posting large inflows alongside tight inventories and strong industrial use.
- Domestic prices stayed elevated but choppy: Indian retail and MCX quotes clustered near Rs 1.29–1.31 lakh per 10g with Delhi easing to Rs 1,31,600–1,32,600, and Pakistan’s per-tola rate climbed to Rs 443,762 on Monday before slipping to Rs 441,862 on Tuesday.