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Siena Poll: Hochul Maintains Double-Digit Lead Over Stefanik and Blakeman

Voters back universal childcare funded by a millionaire tax despite widespread interest in replacing the incumbent.

Overview

  • In head-to-head matchups, Hochul leads Stefanik 49%–30% and Blakeman 50%–25% in a Siena survey of 801 voters conducted Dec. 8–12 with a ±4.1 point margin of error.
  • In primary tests, Hochul tops Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado 56%–13% and Republicans favor Elise Stefanik over Bruce Blakeman 48%–17%.
  • Half of voters say they want a new governor, with only 37% indicating they would reelect Hochul.
  • Statewide support for universal free child care from infancy through pre‑K reaches 65% when funded by higher taxes on incomes above $1 million.
  • Mayor‑elect Zohran Mamdani’s favorability rises to 46%–31% statewide, and 49% of voters say his election will be good for New York City.