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Shutdown Threatens Delay to Social Security’s 2026 COLA Announcement

BLS furloughs may postpone the inflation data SSA uses to calculate next year’s increase.

Overview

  • SSA had planned to release the official 2026 cost-of-living adjustment on October 15, but the timeline is now uncertain.
  • With most BLS staff furloughed during the government shutdown, the September inflation report could be delayed, USA Today reported.
  • The agency cannot finalize the COLA without that CPI release, though analyst Mary Johnson noted the underlying data has already been collected.
  • Social Security payments will continue during the shutdown because the program’s funding is not tied to annual appropriations.
  • The Senior Citizens League recently estimated a roughly 2.7% increase, which remains unofficial, and the only prior delay to a COLA announcement occurred in October 2013.