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Shutdown Standoff Over ACA Tax Credits Hardens as Poll Shows Broad Public Support

Uncertainty in 2026 pricing is building pressure before Nov. 1 open enrollment.

Overview

  • Seventy-eight percent of Americans favor extending the enhanced ACA premium tax credits, including 59% of Republicans and 57% of self-identified MAGA supporters, a new KFF poll finds.
  • Democrats are pushing to attach an extension to a stopgap funding bill, while Speaker Mike Johnson says the issue should be debated over the coming months with broader reforms.
  • KFF estimates subsidized enrollees would face a 114% jump in average annual premiums in 2026 without the extension, and the Congressional Budget Office projects about 4 million people could lose coverage next year.
  • With the fate of subsidies unresolved, Ohio insurers filed 2026 increases ranging from roughly 2.5% to 42%, and regulators face an Oct. 15 deadline to finalize rates.
  • State projections signal large hikes under current law, including a 21.5% rise in Minnesota’s individual market and 14.2% in small-group plans, as many consumers remain unaware of potential ‘sticker shock.’