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Sherrill Leads Ciattarelli by Eight Points as New Jersey Governor’s Race Tightens

The FDU survey shows 87% of Democrats and 86% of Republicans firmly committed to their nominees, with independents moving toward Ciattarelli when local issues are highlighted

Representative Mikie Sherrill speaks to reporters on August 24, 2021 in Washington, D.C.
Jack Ciattarelli and Mikie Sherrill
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Overview

  • The July 17–23 Fairleigh Dickinson University poll of 806 registered voters finds Sherrill at 45% support, Ciattarelli at 37% and 16% undecided.
  • Ciattarelli’s emphasis on state-specific concerns such as housing and energy costs boosted his independent backing by seven points, while national issue questions eroded his nonpartisan support.
  • Sherrill’s advantage has narrowed by 12 points since an early July Rutgers Eagleton survey gave her a 20-point lead over Ciattarelli.
  • New Jersey’s electorate includes about 2.5 million registered Democrats, 1.6 million Republicans and a roughly equal number of unaffiliated voters.
  • Political analysts view this off-year contest as a barometer of party strength ahead of the 2026 congressional midterm elections.