Overview
- With about two weeks to go, recent surveys show a narrowing contest, including Fox News (50%–45% Sherrill), Fairleigh Dickinson (52%–45%), and a Decision Desk HQ average at 49%–44%.
- Democratic leaders warn of potential drop‑off among Black and Hispanic voters, a pattern seen in 2021, as NBC analysis highlights Trump’s significant 2024 gains in Hispanic and other nonwhite communities.
- Trump has endorsed Jack Ciattarelli, with a tele‑rally planned before Election Day, and the GOP nominee says he is seeing strong reception in minority communities and support from some Democrats.
- Barack Obama endorsed Mikie Sherrill and appears in new ads, while Democratic governors and other surrogates have joined her on the trail to boost turnout.
- Key flashpoints include affordability plans such as Sherrill’s proposed one‑year utility rate freeze, a National Archives error that exposed portions of her military records, her disputed opioid‑related allegation against Ciattarelli and his threat to sue, and Trump’s move to halt Gateway funding that Sherrill condemned as Ciattarelli predicted the project will proceed.