Overview
- An Emerson College/PIX11/The Hill poll released Thursday shows Mikie Sherrill at 49% and Jack Ciattarelli at 48%, with 2% undecided.
- Early voting has already topped hundreds of thousands of ballots, and returns to date show Democrats outpacing Republicans among early and mail voters.
- Both campaigns are highlighting favorable early-vote narratives as they pivot to an all-out turnout push with Election Day five days away.
- National figures are active in the state, with Trump endorsing Ciattarelli and headlining tele-rallies as Democrats roll out surrogates including Barack Obama and Pete Buttigieg.
- Polling points to sharp demographic and issue divides, including a pronounced gender gap and an electorate focused on the economy, with signs of narrower margins for Sherrill among Black and Hispanic voters compared with earlier surveys.