Overview

• United Torah Judaism quit the coalition on July 15 and Shas followed on July 16, triggering a 48-hour window before their resignations become official.
• Once the exits take effect, Netanyahu’s bloc will hold just 50 of 120 Knesset seats, falling into minority but shielded by procedural rules and a looming summer recess.
• Both parties walked out over failure to enact a conscription bill that would guarantee broad draft exemptions for ultra-Orthodox seminary students.
• With Haredi partners gone, Netanyahu faces mounting pressure to address acute IDF manpower shortages without his traditional religious backers.
• The reduced majority forces him to lean on hard-line factions opposed to ceasefire concessions, complicating U.S.-, Egyptian- and Qatari-mediated truce negotiations with Hamas.