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Share of Unemployed Who Are New Entrants Hits 37-Year High, Richmond Fed Says

Employer caution tied to policy uncertainty has squeezed entry-level hiring despite a 4.2% overall jobless rate.

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Data: Bureau of Labor Statistics via Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond; Chart: Axios Visuals

Overview

  • July data show 13.4% of the unemployed were first-time jobseekers, the highest share since 1988, according to the Richmond Fed’s analysis of BLS figures.
  • The long-term unemployed accounted for 25.2% of all jobless workers, the largest share since February 2022.
  • The unemployment rate for college graduates ages 22–27 has hovered near early-2010s levels, excluding the 2020 pandemic disruption.
  • Overall unemployment remains relatively low at about 4.2%, yet hiring for entry-level roles has been notably restrained.
  • Richmond Fed economist John O’Trakoun calls the environment a “double-whammy” for Gen Z, with many who began college during lockdowns now facing a sluggish job market.