Overview

• Watch 616 runs from 4:15 p.m. to 10:00 p.m. CDT with threats of hail up to 2 inches in diameter and damaging wind gusts to around 70 mph.
• SPC reports strong storm clusters tracking southeast across the watch area with MRMS indicating robust updrafts capable of producing large hail in parts of north Texas.
• Guidance highlights storms progressing toward the Dallas–Fort Worth area along the I-20 corridor, with hail and severe winds remaining the primary hazards early tonight.
• SPC later noted weakening is expected over the next few hours with an isolated wind and hail risk persisting, and no new watch planned as activity shifts across north‑central Texas.
• WPC issued separate mesoscale discussions for northwest and north‑central Arkansas, far southern Missouri, and central Kansas where training convection could produce 2–3 inches locally and isolated flash flooding on saturated soils.