Overview
- The Deutscher Wetterdienst issued high‑level thunderstorm warnings for parts of Bavaria after a Scandinavian low and frontal band produced heavy rain, reports of large hail and damaging gusts.
- Local impacts recorded in the weekend warnings included hail up to several centimetres, hourly rainfall rates reported up to about 60 litres per square metre and gusts near 80 km/h, with flash‑flood and transport disruption risks.
- After the storm complex moved east, cooler northwesterly air set up a clear northeast–southwest temperature split that has eased heat in many regions and brought cooler nights and calmer conditions for early this week.
- Forecast guidance diverges for the end of July: ECMWF and ICON runs favour a more moderate, changeable pattern while GFS and some private forecasts project a renewed strong heatwave with localized peaks around 35–40°C, a scenario still uncertain.
- Authorities are watching model ensembles closely because small shifts in the Azores ridge or Scandinavian trough could quickly change outcomes, with practical implications for travel, outdoor events and drought‑sensitive farming in the sunniest southwest.