Overview
- The Bureau of Meteorology warns Tuesday will bring severe thunderstorms to parts of south‑east Queensland that could produce damaging winds, large hail and flash flooding.
- Showers are expected to be isolated on Monday before storms intensify and spread on Tuesday, creating hit‑and‑miss impacts where some suburbs face sudden heavy downpours and others remain dry.
- Areas flagged at risk include Brisbane, the Gold Coast, the Sunshine Coast, Toowoomba and parts of the Burnett region.
- Western and central Queensland will stay hot ahead of the system, with Longreach and Mount Isa forecast near 38°C before showers arrive.
- BOM modelling indicates an elevated chance of above‑average rainfall over the next three months despite a strong El Nino, which could relieve dry areas but also increase flash‑flood risk where storms concentrate.