Overview

• SPC issued Severe Thunderstorm Watch 616 from 4:15 to 10:00 p.m. CDT for southern Oklahoma into north Texas, calling for hail up to 2 inches and damaging gusts to 70 mph.
• Storm clusters organized and moved southeast toward the I‑20 corridor, with forecasters tracking robust updrafts over Young, Denton, and Grayson counties capable of producing large hail and severe winds.
• By late evening, SPC expected a gradual decrease in intensity with only isolated wind and hail threats persisting over southern and eastern portions of the watch, and it said no new watch would be issued.
• WPC’s latest analysis flagged repeating thunderstorms from eastern Oklahoma into western and central Arkansas with rates near 1.5 inches per hour and localized 2–3.5 inch totals, making localized flash flooding possible through daybreak.
• Additional SPC discussions described lower-end severe risks in southern to eastern Ohio and in parts of South Dakota, Minnesota, and Iowa, where isolated 60 mph gusts, marginal hail, or a brief tornado were possible and watches were deemed unlikely.