Severe Storm Watches Expanded Across Texas as Evening Threat Grows

Overview

• SPC issued Severe Thunderstorm Watch 629 at 5:10 PM CDT for north‑central and west‑central Texas, in effect until midnight, with damaging winds to 70 mph, hail to 1.5 inches and a tornado or two possible.
• An earlier Severe Thunderstorm Watch 628, posted at 12:05 PM CDT, covers southwest Oklahoma and western and central Texas until 7 PM, highlighting very large hail up to 2.5 inches, isolated 80 mph gusts and a low tornado risk.
• SPC mesoscale guidance (MD 2167) signaled a 95% likelihood of watch issuance as storms developed across western Texas, with supercells producing large hail before evolving toward wind‑producing clusters.
• WPC MPDs 1207–1208 warn that training and backbuilding cells could deliver rainfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour with localized 2 to 4+ inch totals over parts of Texas and into southwest and central Oklahoma, posing isolated urban flash‑flood concerns.
• Additional storm development and eastward propagation are expected into the evening across western, central and north‑central Texas and parts of southwest Oklahoma, with large hail, damaging winds and a few tornadoes remaining possible.