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Severe Liver Disease Is Climbing Among Heavy Drinkers Even Without Higher Alcohol Intake

Researchers tie the surge to metabolic risk and shifting drinking patterns, prompting calls for earlier screening and tighter alcohol controls.

Overview

  • An analysis of U.S. NHANES data by Keck Medicine of USC found advanced liver scarring in heavy drinkers rose from 1.8% to 4.3% between 1999 and 2020 despite little change in reported consumption.
  • The study reports bigger increases among women, adults over 45 and people with obesity or diabetes, with metabolic syndrome in heavy drinkers rising from 26% to nearly 38%.
  • Non-heavy drinkers saw a smaller increase in significant fibrosis (0.8% to 1.4%), while separate research shows binge episodes and even lower chronic intake can damage the liver and speed progression in MASLD and hepatitis C, including an 11% higher cirrhosis risk per additional daily drink in hepatitis C.
  • Public-health evidence indicates alcohol taxes or minimum pricing, limits on availability, and restrictions on marketing reduce consumption and alcohol-related liver mortality, with states strengthening policies seeing subsequent declines.
  • Clinicians highlight practical steps such as Mediterranean-style eating, cardio plus resistance exercise, and moderate coffee intake, alongside guidance to keep intake within limits like the UK’s 14 units per week with alcohol‑free days.