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Severe Cyclone Shakti to Recurve From Monday as Mumbai’s Heavy-Rain Threat Dials Down

Forecasters expect a turn east-northeast from October 6 with gradual weakening that keeps the primary risks to rough seas and localized flooding.

Overview

  • Cyclone Shakti strengthened into a severe cyclonic storm over the Arabian Sea with peak winds near 100 kmph, the IMD said, as the center tracked west‑southwest on Saturday.
  • Official guidance projects the system will reach the northwest and adjoining west‑central Arabian Sea by October 5, then recurve east‑northeast from October 6 and weaken, with no India landfall indicated.
  • Mumbai’s forecast has been eased to light, scattered rain through October 8, though yellow alerts persist in several Maharashtra districts and Palghar may see heavier rain midweek.
  • Rough to very rough seas and gusty winds continue along the Gujarat–north Maharashtra coast, with fishermen advised to stay ashore and disaster protocols activated across coastal districts.
  • Pakistan’s PMD placed southern Sindh and parts of Balochistan on watch for squally winds, rough seas and rain, noting the storm was about 420 km southwest of Karachi on Saturday morning.