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September PMIs Underscore Split Global Services Picture as U.S. Stalls and Asia–Gulf Outperform

Tariffs plus higher costs are weighing on services demand worldwide.

Employees work in the open kitchen of a restaurant in the Patriarch's Ponds neighbourhood in central Moscow, Russia July 11, 2025. REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov
A woman works in a restaurant as a man checks his mobile in the Chinatown area of New York City, U.S., January 1, 2025. REUTERS/Marko Djurica
A person enters an Asian restaurant at Scheunenviertel quarter in Berlin, Germany, November 15, 2024. REUTERS/Lisi Niesner
A view of the Canary Wharf skyline, in London, Britain, October 28, 2024. REUTERS/Hollie Adams

Overview

  • U.S. ISM non-manufacturing PMI fell to 50.0 in September from 52.0, with new orders down to 50.4, employment at 47.2 for a fourth month of contraction, and prices paid elevated at 69.4.
  • Euro zone services activity edged up to 51.3 for an eight-month high, though hiring slipped and France stayed in contraction, while Germany’s services PMI rose to 51.5 with employment falling.
  • UK services growth slowed sharply to 50.8 as firms and households delayed big purchases ahead of the Autumn Budget, marking a 12th straight month of job cuts and reinforcing a more dovish BoE debate.
  • Japan’s services PMI rose to 53.3 for an 11th straight month of expansion on domestic demand, and the UAE’s non-oil PMI climbed to 54.2 with the fastest new-order growth since February and stronger hiring.
  • Canada’s services sector contracted further to 46.3 with job losses and a five-year low in backlogs, while Russia’s services PMI dropped to 47.0, the steepest decline since December 2022.