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September CPI Due Today in Argentina as Forecasts Signal a Return Above 2%

Analysts tie the expected rebound to September’s peso volatility after the Buenos Aires legislative setback.

Overview

  • INDEC will publish the official September consumer price index at 4 p.m., setting the benchmark for the latest monthly inflation reading.
  • The BCRA’s Market Expectations Survey pegs September inflation at 2.1%, while private estimates range roughly from 2.0% to 2.9% with many near 2.3%; CABA reported 2.2%.
  • A print above 2% would end a four‑month streak below that threshold and mark the highest monthly rate since April.
  • Consultoras cite exchange‑rate tension and political uncertainty in mid‑September, with notable increases reported in food, clothing, transport, and selected regulated items.
  • The September figure will determine November adjustments for ANSES pensions and benefits, and early‑October price sampling points to further pressure, with EcoGo flagging a possible 2.6% for this month.