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Sept. 15 Cloture Test Threatens CLARITY Act

If the Senate cannot secure 60 votes the dispute will likely force regulators to write rules and push comprehensive U.S. crypto law beyond this Congress.

Overview

  • The Senate will vote on a cloture motion to proceed to the CLARITY Act at 2:15 p.m. ET on September 15, and the motion needs 60 votes to open debate.
  • Support has slipped and negotiators say the bill may fail to reach 60 votes because of three unresolved fights over ethics rules tied to President Trump, limits on interest-like stablecoin rewards pressed by banks, and liability protections for decentralized finance developers.
  • Crypto industry groups have launched seven-figure national advertising and grassroots campaigns to pressure undecided senators while banking trade groups and community lenders are lobbying home-state offices to tighten stablecoin rules.
  • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent urged senators to keep negotiating and advance the bill, but market analysts such as Galaxy Digital have cut passage odds to roughly 10% because of the tight Senate math and a compressed congressional calendar.
  • If cloture fails supporters say agencies would fill many policy gaps by rulemaking, a path that could be narrower, more reversible, and invite legal challenges while U.S. rivals continue to build their own digital-asset frameworks.