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Seoul Intelligence Says North Korea Can Stage Nuclear Test on Short Notice

An official briefing to lawmakers describes how external support now helps sustain Pyongyang's expanding arsenal.

Overview

  • South Korea’s Defense Intelligence Agency told parliament that a detonation using Punggye-ri’s No. 3 tunnel could proceed quickly if Kim Jong-un orders it.
  • The agency assessed expanded enrichment at Yongbyon and other sites along with multiple production lines for different nuclear warheads.
  • Intercontinental missiles are judged capable of ranges beyond 13,000 kilometers, while undersea launch options advance through improved R-class submarines and nuclear-submarine work.
  • Preparations for additional reconnaissance satellite launches appear underway with Russian technical assistance aimed at higher-resolution imaging.
  • About 300 short-range ballistic missiles have been supplied to Russia since October 2023, and partial operations at Kaesong plus rising Chinese exports indicate added economic support.